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Entries in Tories (6)

Monday
08Jun2009

Democracy Seems So Unfair Sometimes

If you're in the Greens that is.The Greens haven't had a reversal of fortune in the euro elections, far from it - although the Greens story is almost absent from the mainstream reporting. In fact they've grown their vote more than any other party nationally, and they seem to be well set-up for more electoral success in their stronghold areas down south, like Brighton.

The sad part is, this hasn't been enough to get the Greens more MEPs, and the gains aren't as big as I was hoping. Of course, I'm particularly disappointed that we didn't get a Green MSP in Scotland, although it looks as though the Greens took the biggest share of the vote in Scotland that they've ever taken. 

Nationally, the turn-out was dismal, and the disillusionment with 'business as usual' parties palpable. Politics seems to have splintered into all sorts of unpredictable and strange directions - the most inexplicable is the dirft to the right represented by the fact that the Tories vote held up, and a surprisingly strong UKIP vote. It is astonishing to see the Tories do so well in Wales, for example, whilst the SNP have also made history - coming top in a national poll for the first time.

The fact that the BNP gained two MEP's is really depressing, especially considering that less people voted for them in this election than in the last Euro election. So even though there has in reality been a downturn in support for the BNP, they have gained because so few people on the left bothered to vote.

In times of economic strife you'd perhaps expect Left leaning parties to do better. It's hardly a surprise that Labour are down. But I was surprised to see the LibDems down too. This seems to leave the Greens as the only 'progressive' left leaning party to have gained something out of these Euro elections. The trouble is that gain was not enough.

Friday
13Feb2009

Uninspiring Edinburgh

The Edinburgh cooncil budget has been agreed and I've been trying to cut through the spin to figure out exactly what's going on. If only the council would publish something that said clearly, "Here's what we did last year, here's what we're doing this year and the extra money under each heading will be used for..." Instead, we get extra millions for this and extra millions for that, but details only when it suits. The key battle grounds seem to be around Education and Transport.

First the spin. It's interesting to see Jenny Dawe claiming the credit for the 'Capital City Supplement' she says the council has won from the parliament down the road. Surely everyone knows that it was Margo's price for supporting the SNP budget at Holyrood?

Anyway, Jenny says her administration has set "an ambitious budget which will see us continuing to provide the excellent services that the people of Edinburgh want. It is also about building a fairer society and a stronger economy."

When you look at the 'additional' money that the administration claims to be providing, some of it seems to be going on things they have to do anyway under their statutory respnsiblities. Older Persons care? Isn't that supposed to be free in Scotland anyway? They will be building two new care homes, and so that's something to be celebrated for sure. However, as the headline item on the new administrations budget, 'Edinburgh council meets statutory obligations' hardly lives up to the Inspiring Edinburgh tag line the city has given itself. Maybe the  current administration do plan exciting things in Social Care, but they've made a poor job of communicating it. It's hardly suprising then that the oppoistion parties have universally derided the agreement as uninspiring.

The Libdems are also proud to be stuffing money into the reserves and Jenny still can't help but get a dig in at the previous administration saying "In our first year we concentrated on delivering a budget to address the serious deficiencies we inherited from the previous Administration. What no-one could foresee was that we would be setting our 2009/10 budget in a world wide recession."

Jenny you protest too much. However, I doubt many people will be complaining about a council tax freeze for another year, even if Scottish Water keep raising their prices. However, one can't help but assume that if the administration is putting money into the reserves and holding council tax down the real increases in this budget, if any, must be pretty tight.

Speaking of the previous administration, Ewan Aitken is in the huff because he was left out of pre-budget discussions that included the other opposition parties. Whilst it's hard to make head or tail of the tit-for-tat millions here and millions there spin, the Labour proposals to subsidise and hence retain bus routes that are being cut under the current administration would have been welcome, especially when the tram works are making it harder to get around the city.

All the parties claim to rephasing road spending to take account of the Tram works. All of them have a slightly different emphasis. Labour prioritises pavements while the tram works are on. The Greens take a more holistic approach prioritising investing in cycle lanes, green spaces and public transport. Theres certainly political capital to made here, as the current administration will have a job to maintain any credibility on the transport front after the Seafield rd roundabout debacle that has managed to almost cut Leith off from Edinburgh, and completely inconvenience everyone else in East Edinburgh. And don't mention the bus cuts that seem to affect the poorest bits of Edinburgh most. And definately don't mention the Trams where leadership has been conspiciuosly absent from the city chambers. It is unfortunate for the Edinburgh executive that the most radical policy that they've adopted since they were elected wasn't theres - it was proposed by the Greens.

It's interesting the the Labour group would devolve a bit more pocket money to each of the Neighbourhood Partnerships. This is certainly a good idea and it's a shame that the Greens don't campaign for more devolution to neighbourhoods too.

Jenny defends the executives unpopular education cuts by pointing to the pupils results. Labour, and indeed the Tories and the Greens say they'd entirely reverse 'efficiency cuts' made to devolved school budgets last year. Although Cameron Rose explains at great length that this is because the Tories feel Education is overmanaged in Scotland. Cameron says, "The administration have called this a radical budget. Alas, it is certainly not that. New thinking is needed here to safeguard the education of our children." However, whilst I can agree that the current set-up doesn't do much for kids from poorest backgrounds, his medicine seems worse than the disease to me.

And while we're on the subject of what the Tories would do - he also makes it clear they'd also abandon the 25% affordable housing requirement in all new housing in Edinburgh, something I really can't agree with either. Last year the Libdems/SNP allowed one developer in Trinity to build their quota of affordable housing miles away of site in Leith, where the land was marginally cheaper. I thought this was bad enough as it threw away the only opportunity to build affordable housing in Trinity that's likely to come up for years. Labour in contrast would establish a dedicated affordable housing fund - but lets not be fooled by the spin - that fund already exists!

Cllr Burns has done a good job of pointing out where the administration has made further cuts/savings. Increased charges for school lets (up 30%), allotments (up 17%), and cuts to community education and voluntary sector funding that will have an impact in the city. In particular cuts, or freezes, to voluntary sector funding will hit the most excluded groups most. The current administration may claim to be 'investing' in social care and the vulnerable, but any spending gains are staying in house. The really vulnerable groups, like asylum seekers or homeless people have real trouble engaging with 'government services' - so I'm not sure these moves will be good for the most vulnerable in the city. Similarly, cuts to community education budgets, combined with school let rises could put a huge extra burden on small, largely voluntary groups. If the local Scout group has to put its subs up by 30% or more, will the drop off in attendance push it over the edge?

In the case of allotments, one wonders whether the massive rent rises will force people on low incomes off them? Afterall pensions haven't gone up 17% this year have they? It's certainly one way to shorten the waiting list.

So, there we have it. Uninspiring Edinburgh. If you're wondering where the SNP figure in all this. Well, it seems none of the local SNP bloggers are particularly concerned with what happens in the budget. If I'm missing something, I'd be delighted to be informed otherwise. However, as far as I can see the SNP are so hung up on national issues like the LIT that their parties role in propping up an immensely boring, some whould say paralysed administration, that none of them want to pass comment. Matters aren't helped of course by the fact that there seems to be no SNP elected people blogging (Rob Munn is on Facebook though). Are they embarrassed, shy? We'll never know unless the get on-line.

 

 

Monday
29Dec2008

0.02% of UK Households Get £30K of Benefits

Chris Grayling plays to  middle England with a deft piece of statistical manipulation that appears to support the case for reforming the 'benefit dependancy' culture in the UK. He says:

Information released to the Conservatives also shows that around 70,000 households receive benefits worth £25,000 or more a year, and 20,000 households receive over £30,000 of benefits a year.

The average gross wage in Britain is £25,100.

Chris Grayling, the Shadow Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, stressed the Government must get a grip on Britain's benefits culture:

“It's hardly surprising that so many people live a life on benefits when in some cases it is possible to be paid as much money as someone in work on a typical average income. Things really have to change.”

This kind of chat from the Tories seems to suggest they are on the side of 'working families,' but who are they really having a go at? I did a wee bit of number crunching and to me this seems to show that the Tories are still the nasty party to me, whatever their fuzzy green tree logo suggest.

Firstly, Is it reasonable to compare a household income to an inidividual income? I think not. If we compare the average household income with these stats then it turns out that the average household income is about £30,000 a year, before the credit crunch at any rate. So, what the Tories are saying by my calculations, is that 0.02% of UK households get more in benefits than the average UK household income.

That's 2 in 1000, if my rubbish maths is right.

On average, according to the National Statistics website, cash benefits make up 57% of the income of the poorest fifth of households. I suppose one could argue over whether this is too much or too little. But the same site shows that all of the benefits combined redistribute household income like this:

In 2006/07, original income, before taxes and benefits, of the top fifth of households in the UK was 15 times greater than that for the bottom fifth (£72,900 per household per year compared with £4,900). After redistribution through taxes and benefits, the ratio between the top and bottom fifths is reduced to four-to-one (average final income of £52,400 compared with £14,400).

Imagine living in a household with an income of £4,900 per year? That would be tough. Bearing in mind that the people who benefit most from the current system are families and pensioners, it's surely a good thing that the bottom fifth have their income boosted to at least a subsistence level?

It's not hard to imagine a household where there are a three or four children, a disabled grand parent, and a single parent who manages to juggle other commitments to hold down  a part time minimum wage job? These households are larger than the average with complex care needs, and deserve support from the social security net, yet Chris Grayling seems to imply they should struggle to survive on an average individual wage, or less. Shame on the Tories for even going there. Theirs is not the kind of country I want to live in.

 


Wednesday
06Aug2008

London Congestion Charge Works - Shock Report

Interesting Spin on TfL report that says congestion in London is back to levels last seen in 2002. Boris takes the opportunity to do as much as he can to rubbish Kens legacy, but the Tfl Press release says:

More than five years after the Congestion Charge was launched, and over a year after the western extension began, traffic in central London remains 21 per cent lower than pre-charge levels and traffic entering the extension has fallen by 14 per cent.

And:

There has been a 6 per cent increase in bus passengers during charging hours and a 12 per cent increase in cycle journeys into the western extension.

Sounds good to me. It turns out that actually the congestion problems are all to do with major roadworks, temporarily removing road space, and blocking key junctions. Yes, more needs to be done to cut congestion, and the charge won't do it on it's own.

Why Boris feels an appropriate response is to scrap plans to pedestrianise part of Parliament square escapes me. It's a temporary problem, whilst pedestrianisation will deliver long lasting benefits in Central London. Why should people who make sustainable transport choices be penalised to apease the petrol head lobby?

Thursday
24Jul2008

Purcell Said It

I can't believe that Steven Purcell, the leader of Glasgow City Council actually said that 'a vote for the SNP is a vote for the Tories,' on Newsnight Scotland last night.

I wonder how many voters watching would actually believe that?

Doctor Vee is right. This is like watching the two biggest bullies in the playground fighting. No-one really likes either of them, but we keep watching to the bitter end anyway, as it's the only show in town.

It would have been nice if the BBC could have invited the Greens along to participate in the programme. Afterall, the Tories and the Libdems haven't a hope of winning whatsoever and they get invited on. In fact, the Greens have more local representation on the city council than the Tories and the same as the LibDems. So the BBC can hardly claim they are a fringe party.

It seemed somewhat ironic that the newsnight byelection set featured a green rosette in a prominent position and there was no-one there tor represent their views.

If they had been there, perhaps the level of debate might have risen above the 'ferrets in a sack' standard too?

Sunday
13Jul2008

Results of Glasgow East

Only a pure numpty would try to predict the outcome of any by-election, especially the Glasgow East one, especially two weeks before. That's what everyone on TV says just before they give their prediction of what the result will be, so I'm going to copy them, and get my oar stuck in early.

The papers insist that anything could happen but my gut feeling says I'm going to feel like I did when John Major was elected in 1992. Basically, just thoroughly flabbergasted that so many people could vote for the status quo.

Glasgow East is a place where voter apathy is the biggest issue. I meet folk in Glasgow all the time who say without any shred of embarrassment 'Politics? Nah I'm not into that stuff.' But, just like one of the guys in this video who's lived there his whole life, you can't blame people, when nothing does ever change. Labour have run Glasgow for decades and politics is done differently there. To  me it seems like everyone votes Labour, and then the real deals are done by 'big personalities' behind closed doors, in the mysterious web of trade unions, regeneration agencies, religious organisations, and council offices that run Glasgow. Or, if you believe one of my work colleagues, it's actually the other way around, and the voting is just a formality that happens after the decisions have been taken.

The last Scottish elections shook Glasgow up, and for the first time, there is some real local opposition and scrutiny in Glasgow, but it's going to take a long time for that reality to make a difference to the culture in Glasgow. People connected to Labour can still pull strings that other people can't. Sadly, I suspect that getting people in Glasgow East to vote for someone else apart from Labour is just as hard as challenging the culture of smoking, drinking, drug taking and fighting that blights the area. Which is a shame, as there are other parties, like the Greens, who in theory at least, have policies that should appeal to left leaning souls.

The SNP might be predicting an earthquake, but I reckon they'll not be sending anyone new to Westminster. Labour have carefully worked it out so that the voting is timed to coincide with the Glasgow fair holiday. That'll mean it'll only be the apathetic knife wielding Ballieston tongs (who won't vote) and the dyed in the wool red or dead auld folk left in the neighbourhood (who will.)

If you look at the stats then it's pretty clear that the SNP would need all of the Tory, Lib Dem and SSP votes just to come within spitting distance of Labour, and that kind of squeeze is hard to imagine. Of course, weird things happen in byelections, and the turn out will be much smaller, so even if things stand still the SNP will be able to claim they've reduced Labours majority. But I doubt they'll win.

Assuming Labours Margaret Curran does win, I suppose it'll mean political silver linings all around in some senses. Alex Salmond might be happy to see another Scottish Labour heavy weight (ahem) out of the race for the Holyrood Labour Leadership, and so will the other Labour leadership contenders. Not only would she leave the field slightly clearer for them, she'd make the local selection process easier when the Scottish MSP constituency boundaries are redrawn. And let's not forget Gordon Brown will be pretty relieved too - even if she's not his first choice.

That's assuming she quit her MSP post of course. At the moment she seems to be keeping her options open, although she did concede that that having an office in Westminster and Holyrood would be 'unsustainable in the long run.'

It does make you wonder whether Ms Curran reckons Alex Salmond has set a precedent. Could this be the start of worrying trend in Scottish politics - party leaders feeling the need to have a seat in both parliaments? Would Scottish folk stand for it? I hope not. 

To sum up. Labour win, but with a much reduced majority. SNP 2nd (swing from Lib Dems and Tories). Liberal Democrats (Lib Dems Squeezed) and Tories (squeezed, but less so) 3rd and 4th. Greens next. SSP and Solidarity split the socialist vote, consigning themselves to utter pointlessness (again).