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Entries in Holyrood (5)

Sunday
08Feb2009

Scotland can replace nuclear with green energy

The Scotsman reports today on the internal divisions in the Labour party in Scotland over their submission to the Calman Commission. It seems the Scots MPs (including Gordon Brown) want to take back planning powers from Holyrood, whereas the Scots MSPs want to keep them. This despite a poll that shows more and more support in Scotland for indepenance. Talk about putting yourself on the wrong side of the debate!

Essentially, it seems the Westminster Labour party MP's have taken the huff. They still want to build new nuclear plants, whilst there's a measure of agreement in Holyrood that Scots would be better investing in renewable energy.

The same old tired nonsense about Holyrood risking security of supply by blocking new nuclear is rehashed in the Scotsman. So, let's try and figure this out once and for all:

  1. Total Gross renewables installed in Scotland in 2001: 4202 GWh (10% of total consumption)
  2. Total Gross renewables installed in Scotland in 2007: 8226 GWh (20% of total consumption)
  3. Total Gross nuclear power generation has never been more than 18681 GW (or  37.9 % of total  consumption) over the same period.
  4. There's two nuclear power stations in Scotland, one is due to close in 2016 and the other 2023.
  5. 2007 Number of households: 2314,000 . Estimated 2023 number of households 2625,000 (13% more). We could assume we'll consume an extra 2428.5 GWh in 2023, but when you look at the stats you can see that actually Scotlands consumption has hovered around 50,000 GWh over the last 7 years. Lets be optimistic and assume that our efforts to boost our efficiency will maintain this static trend.
  6. Assuming that the nuclear reactors generate 50% of the total nuclear output each, in 2016, renewables will need to replace roughly 9000 GWh of capacity, when the first reactor closes.
  7. We've managed to add 4000GWh in the last 6 years. We'll need to add almost another 8000 GWh to meet the the SNP's 31% from renewables target by 2011 -  that'll take us to roughly 15,500GWh. The Scottish Government seem confident that currently consented renewables developments will meet that target. It therefore seems safe to assume we can handle the closure of the first one of the nuclear reactors.
  8. Looking onwards to 2023, even with a slowing growth rate in the easy to install stuff - like onshore wind, it looks like we can install another 9000Gwh of capacity.

Conclusion? Labour MP's are frustrated over the fact that their Westminster green policies are clearly mince, and are trying to find a way of scunnering Holyrood as it becomes clear that it's doing a better job of greening the scots economy than Westminster is - even with limited influence over the regulatory environment.

Of course, the energy policy debate is not simply one of nuclear vs renewables. Scotland relies on coal and gas for a large part of its electricity supplies too, and cutting electricity demand should really be the starting point for all of this. And what are the SNP proposing to do about those issues? If the last budget is anything to go by the answer is pretty much nothing. But that's a different question.

I just wanted to make it clear that if Holyrood can carry on supporting the growth of more renewables, as we're doing at the moment, we don't need new nuclear in Scotland and there'll be no risk to security of supply issues.

 

Wednesday
04Feb2009

LIBDEMS = BUDGET FAIL

Seriously, is that all it takes? Astonishing to see that the LibDems and Labour have voted to support the SNP budget, and got so very little in return.

I had hoped that the price of buying the LibDems and Labour off would have cost more than the £11million extra that the Scottish Greens were asking for over the £20million that the SNP were offering. However, it seems that you can buy the entire Scottish LibDems for not much more than wishy washy commitments to participate in the Calman Commission and a toothless financial sector review.

What do the LibDems gain from this? After the tough stance Tavish took on the 2p tax cut issue in the first round of negotiations, what was he thinking when he decided to roll over for Alex in the 2nd round? I just don't get it at all. Unless Tavish has made a secret back room deal, it seems to me that the LibDems have just made themselves even more irrelevent to Scottish politics.

At least Labour got £7million quid out the SNP for more apprenticeships. However, given the number of MSPs they have £7million quid seems like very little - albeit that the SNP have made a commitment for a further £7million next year. It at least means that Labour can claim they got something tangible out of Swinney, and I've no doubt that the 'more apprenticeships' with Labour message will play well to the core vote. However, the £7million was won at the expense of the Greens.

The Greens may have lost this battle, but who'd have thought that Labour and the LibDems would be so easily bought? I don't blame Patrick Harvie for gambling that his proposals would always be cheaper to fund than the other opposition parties.

I still think that the Greens have the most coherent response to the credit crunch, and every single person who lives in fuel poverty, or in a hard to heat home, many of whom probably live in a 'traditional Labour voting area,' should reflect on whether £7million worth of extra apprenticeships is really all that voting Labour means, when voting Green could've meant that every single household in Scotland would benefit from housing that is cheaper to heat and better for the planet.  Not to mention the jobs - and training opportunities - that would have been created by funding the Greens proposals.

Still, the Greens may have lost the battle, but in a sense they won the war because they stuck to their principles. The SNP have shown themselves up as well, more fond of the roads and house building lobbies than doing anything green when the chips are down. If there is any silver lining from this whole sorry mess, at least there is now clear 'Green water' between the Greens and any other party that may try to steal their clothes.

 

Friday
17Oct2008

Patter Swap

Nats seem to get all annoyed when people accuse them of being in bed with the Tories.  But if Alex Salmond  can't come up with any  new chat of his own, and borrows George Osbornes Tory conference lines about 'the age of irresponsibility' for the SNP conference, you can't blame people for putting 2 + 2 together and getting tartan Tories can you?

In a similar vain I was amused to hear the LibDems environment spokesman in Westminster, Steve Webb, comments on the exclusion of air travel and shipping emissions from the proposed UK Climate Change bill. Steve said:'It's like telling everyone you're going on a calorie controlled diet, but not counting cream cakes.'

Sounds familiar to me.

Is there a reality TV show in this? Er, probably not.

Saturday
06Sep2008

Cybernats defend LIT

It's interesting to see prominent cybernats like SNP Tactical Voting and Scots and Independent both trying to rebutt the points made in this Scotsman article highlighting the problems with the SNP's LIT proposals. It is fair to say that some of the 25 points in the article aren't worth taking seriously. However, there are some very valid criticisms.

Firstly, the SNP proposals to levy a 3% tax on income uniformly throughout the country can hardly be described as local. The SNP say it is a tax to fund local services, but let's face it, it won't raise enough money to fund local services in itself, it won't be collected locally, and so people won't perceive any difference between this extra 3% taken out of their pay packets, and the proportion of income tax, VAT or NI that supports local services.

 If we must have a Local Income Tax, I'd much rather it was set locally. This is primarily because it will strengthen local democracy and accountability at local authority level. The SNP can hardly complain that they would like more tax raising/varying powers for Holyrood on one day to Westminster on the basis that they cannot serve their electorate and respond flexibly to the 'unique situation in Scotland' without these powers, and then on the next day deny that our locally elected officials would not benefit from similar powers locally. If it is 'fair' to set taxes at Holyrood, why not locally or indeed at Westminster?

In principle, Greens argue for devolution of powers and responsibilities to the most local level possible. This strengthens local democracy, and gives responsibility to local authorities and elected officials. Greens would obviously prefer a Land Value Tax set locally, rather than a Local Income Tax. 

The other big problem I have with a Local Income Tax, is that it does nothing to support 'hard working families' that most political parties claim to want to support. It may be true that 85% of people will be better off under the SNP proposals because they plan to subsidise the tax centrally. Whilst this makes me wonder what the SNP would need to cut, if they were going to implement their 3% LIT, a quick chat down the pub last night really bought it home to me who 15% who will be worse off are. 

Basically, the worse off are going to be households like mine and my pals. We all have (proportionally to our income) massive mortgages and probably negative equity, tiny flats or houses, both grown ups work in reasonable jobs, one or more children (with correspondingly high child care costs), student loans to pay back, and we are being squeezed by commodity prices rises. We don't have much flexibility to pay more tax, but we will because our households have higher than average earned incomes, even though we have high, pretty unavoidable, outgoings too. 

Now, this contrasts with an older acquaintance of mine. They have two massive homes. One in the city, one in the country. One of them works. In short they're minted. They probably have lots of unearned income. They are lovely. They would benefit massively from LIT, because they hardly have any earned income, relative to their total wealth. As they said to me the other day, 'Tax avoidance is fine and we'd be stupid not to do it. Tax evasion, now that's illegal.' LIT will be an easy tax for the rich to avoid. 

So, my assessemnt of the consequences of the SNP LIT proposals: Great for workless households, great for posh people. Terrible for the lower middle classes. 

The council tax does need to go. It is also unfair. LIT may be more equitable. However, one of the main reasons why a Land Value Tax, as proposed by the Greens, seems fairer to me, is because it would squeeze the right people. The rich would not be able to avoid LVT, because you can't hide land, or offset it, or stick it offshore somewhere.  

If I was a politician, I'd be thinking seriously about which part of the population is most inclined to vote in elections, and what proportion of them would be worse off by my tax proposals. It might make some core SNP voters think again.  


Tuesday
15Jul2008

Mason Unhappy About Experiments, Or Anything Like That

In a brilliant piece of East Glasgow scare mongering John Mason shows that he’s made of sterner moral fibre than the rest saying "I am coming from a faith community background and I am extremely unhappy about any experiments on babies or research, or anything like that."

That’s right John, evil scientists are being given the green light by Labour to experiment on the unborn children of Glasgow East, and only you can stop them. Let's not discuss how propertly regulated research could save the lives of lots of babies in Glasgow East in years to come. Rather than take the harder route of trying to explain how important scientific research is, John Mason chooses the dog whistle politics of religion. Cheap. Really Cheap. And irresponsible.

As an apathetic agnostic, I’m keen on the idea of keeping a big wide separation between the state and religion. After all, one is mumbo jumbo and the other is, er religion.

That’s why I was disappointed with Alex Salmond when he backed the idea of a state funded Muslim state school. A retrograde step, when we should be looking to close down all faith schools and merge them with the rest. They just divide us.

However, it seems there is no end to the populist opportunism of the SNP. Guided as they are by nothing else other than a single minded desire to break up the UK, it would seem that no pressure group can be ignored, even if their demands are based on superstition and hysterical fear mongering. Maybe one day the SNP will succeed in realising an independent Scotland, but if they do I wonder whether it'll be a more divided, backward looking Scotland too.

And as for what Cllr Mason says on sustainable transport....two doctors has got that covered. Whilst I'm not trying to ensure that my byelection prediction comes true by taking shots at the SNP (honest), this guy is not fit for Glasgow City Chambers, nevermind Westminster.