Tactically Voting in Edinburgh East? Not Likely!
Thursday, October 22, 2009 at 12:57PM Because of the first past the post voting system in Westminster - elections throw everyone into the position of having to vote tactically and second guess how everyone else is going to vote. There is of course a general election looming, and so my thoughts have been turning recently - even as a green party member - to whom I should vote for.
Currently, I have Gavin Strang, a Labour MP, whom I've found singularly uninspiring as an MP, although he did at least vote against the Iraq War and replacing Trident. Most recently, I was disappointed to learn he voted against supporting the recent motion to support the 10:10 campaign, although I note that he's listed as being a 'moderate' supporter of climate change legislation on theyworkforyou.com
The trouble is of course, that whilst I want action from Westminster on environmental issues, climate change, and change on voting systems and transparency issues - all things a Green MP would be likely to major on - it's extremely unlikely that the Edinburgh East constituency will elect a Green MP. So, logically, what's to do?
Well, the SNP are alledgedly 'resurgent' in Scotland, and so let's check out their candidate. It's none other than George Kerevan, Scotsman columnist, with no website (OK, there's this blank joomla template). So the only way we can figure out anything he might beleive is through his columns: http://news.scotsman.com/georgekerevan
Oops! Most of those columns are premium content. I'm not so keen to read him that I'm going to pay. Fortunately, the grumpy spindoctor reveals a bit more info. It's not good reading. It turns out George quite likes Nuclear power, to put it mildly. So, I won't be voting for George. In fact, I'd consider voting tactically to stop him.
Sheila Gilmore is set to replace Gavin Strang for Labour, and in previous careers (both hers and mine), I had some dealings with her. And frankly I feel ambivalent about her. Neither inspired, nor offensive, I remember finding her hard to read. She was reasonably eloquent about explaining the case for Housing stock transfer, but we all know now that that wasn't enough to persuade Edinburgh tenants that she genuinely felt that stock transfer was the right way to go, and that she wasn't just pushing a new labour policy for the sake of it. I somehow have a gut feeling that she will simply tow the party line were she to be elected. Lobby fodder for the westminster party elite - at least on the issues that matter to me at any rate.
And the LibDems? Well they haven't confirmed their candidate yet. So not much to go on there. They did get the 2nd largest share of the vote at the last general election, although now that Kenny MacKaskill is the SNP MSP there, George is seen as the main challenger these days. Besides, I find the LibDems the slipperiest of all political parties - what exactly would I be voting for if I voted LibDem? Without a face, I don't know. And besides, if they are 3rd place contenders now, they're not worth considering for a tactical vote.
So, if I were to tactically vote, what should I do?
If I felt that Labour would consider a 'stop the Tories' coaltion with the Libdems, then I might be persuaded to vote Labour to tactically push that alliance - not that the Lib/Lab coalition did much for the environment when in power in Scotland. I'm assuming Gordon would be kicked out whatever happens. In Westminster there's a chance they might do a bit better - again a gut feeling, based on the LibDem front bench in London.
Or should I hold my nose and vote SNP, increasing Georges chances of getting elected in the hope that he'll tow the 'no nuclear in Scotland' party line and rein in his Tory loving tendencies? Will Alex Salmond pull off his 20 MP's and will the numbers stuck up so that Westminster does indeed have to start dancing to Scottish jig? Another gut feeling, but that seems unlikely too. It seems more likely that the SNP block will end up larger, but ultimately they'll keep bleating pointlessly in Westminster, as irrelevant as usual. And besides, Nuclear power pledges aside, they SNP have not impressed me in government in Scotland.
Given all that murk and uncertainty, it seems I only have once choice afterall. To Vote Green - and hope that more people vote green too. We might not get an MP elected, but it may be the best way to put pressure on whoever does get elected to vote the right way on green issues. Of course, it would be nice to see the voting system changed, so that I didn't have to go through the process I've just been through. But until then...



